If you're stepping into trades right now, start with two realities. First, AFK and scripting have pushed Bug, Jungle, and Mythic egg supply to absurd levels. Second, the new Battle Pass creates short-term scarcity for its base Grow a Garden pets because each player effectively gets one by progression. What does this mean? Anything sourced from those three egg pools is likely to keep dropping, while Pass base pets can sustain a temporary premium. To keep things simple and tradable, every value here references the Butterfly as the price anchor, and we're looking at the 48-hour, not 24-hour, post-release window—so numbers are closer to true transactions.

• Why prices nuked overnight
• The price anchor: fast ratios using Butterfly
• E-tier (useful but oversupplied risk)
• D-tier (main rotation zone)
• C- and B-tier (anchors and headliners after the slide)
• A-tier and above (pricey but need liquidity)
• Red-flag segments: avoid catching falling knives
• Battle Pass pets: true costs and pricing guardrails
• Handling online vs in-lobby price gaps
• FAQ

↖ why prices nuked overnight

- Supply shock:

  - Normal AFK case: Raccoons on a T3 event plant ≈ 12 hours → 300+ Bug eggs (replicated by multiple players).

  - Scripting cases (image evidence circulating): tens of thousands of Bug/Jungle/Mythic eggs (27k–52k+ per pool in some screenshots).

  - Implication: Pets from these egg pools will be undercut in waves.

- Demand cool-down:

  - Current event phase has weak crafting demand; top-tier buyers are fewer; headliners saw ~10–15% drawdown.

- Timing:

  - We are at 48 hours post-release. Inertia selling and undercuts are more visible than the first 24 hours.

↖ The price anchor: fast ratios using Butterfly

- Core anchors:

  - C-tier anchor: Butterfly ≈ Spinosaurus (nearly equal).

  - D-tier rule of thumb: roughly 2 D-tier = 1 Butterfly.

  - E-tier rule of thumb: roughly 3 E-tier = 1 Butterfly.

  - Disco Bee (now B-tier): ≈ 2 Butterflies + one E-tier.

- Quick reference pairs:

  - Spinosaurus ≈ Butterfly

  - D-tier (Squirrel, Echo Frog, T-Rex, Mimic, etc.) ≈ 2:1 to Butterfly

  - E-tier (Kappa, French Fry Ferret, etc.) ≈ 3:1 to Butterfly

  - Mimic sits at the D-tier ceiling: almost 2 Mimics ≈ 1 Butterfly

↖ E-tier (useful but oversupplied risk)

↖ D-tier (main rotation zone)

↖ C- and B-tier (anchors and headliners after the slide)

↖ A-tier and above (pricey but need liquidity)

↖ Red-flag segments: avoid catching falling knives

• - Jungle/Bug/Mythic egg outputs: documented tens-of-thousands egg inventories imply prolonged undercuts. Any pet from these pools priced near Butterfly or higher is likely to retrace hard.
• - Regular Dragonfly: Removed from the list due to extreme supply; treat as collection-only. Trade bulk-for-bulk; never swap core value for it.
• - Queen Bee: E-tier cliff risk. Prefer lateral swaps within tier; avoid paying up.

↖ Battle Pass pets: true costs and pricing guardrails

- Cost math (example):

  - Unlock ≈ 749 Robux; skip-to-end ≈ 1470 Robux; total ≈ 2219 Robux.

  - You get: one base version and one Rainbow/Giant version of each key Pass pet (e.g., base + Rainbow Blue Jay; base + Giant Firefly; base + Rainbow Mizuchi).

- Pricing red line:

  - Any single Rainbow/Giant priced near or above ≈ 2219 Robux equivalent is irrational because 2219 buys the entire Pass bundle of bases + premium variants.

- Specifics:

  - Firefly (base): ≈ Spinosaurus (C-tier). Giant has real value if you actively spread Shock mutations at scale; otherwise discount to utility.

  - Mizuchi (base): ≈ Firefly. Rainbow listings have asked for Kitsune-level value; do not pay above a single Kitsune's median. Sensible ceiling: 15–25% below Kitsune median.

  - Blue Jay (base): C bottom; Rainbow is largely collectible—price it as such.

  - Silver Dragonfly: scarcity illusion; don't pay Huge-level premia.

- Cheap Huge equivalence note:

  - Silver Dragonfly ~ cheapest Huge today is a temporary mismatch. Expect mean reversion as more Pass completions enter circulation.

↖ Handling online vs in-lobby price gaps

- If you can't find online transaction history (e.g., Drake, Luminous Sprite, Wisp), treat listed prices as “quote only.” Only agree to lateral same-tier swaps or demand a 10–20% discount when buying; prioritize selling them into hype, not buying.

- If your lobby shows hot bids while online markets are quiet, consider T+0 flips: buy in-lobby, sell online into wider demand, capture spread quickly.

↖ FAQ

Q1: Is the regular Dragonfly worth buying now?

- No. Supply is overwhelming. Acquire only as a collection piece via low-value bulk; never use core assets.

Q2: What's the quick Mimic math?

- Nearly 2 Mimics = 1 Butterfly. If you can close at 1.8 Mimic per Butterfly, that's instant edge.

Q3: Disco Bee dropped to B-tier—more downside?

- If the whole market slides another 5–10%, Disco Bee may align closer to ≈ 2 Butterflies flat. Quotes at 2 Butterfly + E are still within normal range today.

Q4: Are Rainbow/Giant Pass variants worth it?

- Don't price a single Rainbow/Giant near the ≈ 2219 Robux all-in Pass cost. Utility players should only pay for measurable efficiency gains; collectors set a cap no higher than a single Kitsune median.

Q5: Jungle egg newcomers (Chimpanzee, Tiger) look expensive—buy now?

- Don't. Expect step-down repricing. A more rational zone: Chimp ≈ T-Rex/Mimic range; Tiger ≈ approaching but still below Butterfly. Better to miss than to grab a blade mid-fall.

Q6: Is Pachycephalosaurus dead?

- Not dead—just untriggered. If part two adds crafting, multi-copy utility kicks in and price should bounce. Watch for official crafting hints.